In 2015, the manufacturing industry expanded 10.6% and contributed 1.6 percentage points to the 6.7% rise in Gross Domestic Production (GDP).
The bank expected production output will remain steady in 2016 and forecast a 10.7% pickup.
Encouragingly, after surging to a record high in 2015, foreign direct investment (FDI) continued to flow into the country in the first two months of 2016 with registered FDI reached US$2.8 billion as of February, representing a 135% year-on-year increase.
Meanwhile, domestic demand will likely remain firm thanks to private spending, which has been supported by still-low rates. The bank expected GDP to rise 6.7% in 2016, unchanged from last year, and forecast growth to accelerate to 6.8% in 2017.
However, the bank also forecasted inflation will climb to 5.2% by year end, breaching the government’s target ceiling and the State Bank to switch to a tightening mode in the second half of this year.
The bank added the State Bank will likely use administrative tightening measures to cool lending, especially in the real estate sector.